PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 11, 2026, 11:42 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
14°C or higher 30%-12.5ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.8K
Low liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 4:31 AM UTCSep 12, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- 91° or above+8.0pt95.2%
- 89° to 90°-9.0pt1%
- 87° to 88°-1.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $184.1K
- 24h Vol
- $128.7K
KALSHIHighest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026?
- 84° or above+37.0pt95.2%
- 75° or below-8.0pt1%
- 80° to 81°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 11?
- 25°C+58.5pt92.1%
- 26°C-24.0pt7.9%
- 20°C or below-0.1pt0%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 10, 2026?
- 109° to 110°+52.0pt95.2%
- 107° to 108°-43.0pt1%
- 105° to 106°-6.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 91 F on September 10, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Total Vol
- $68.1K
- 24h Vol
- $68.1K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 11?
- 27°C+60.5pt65.7%
- 26°C+30.8pt29.6%
- 28°C-39.5pt3.7%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 92 F on September 10, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 11, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 11, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Sep 10, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 93 F on September 10, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 90 F on September 10, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 12??
- Polymarket prices 14°C or higher at 30% as of September 11, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 12? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 12? is scheduled to resolve on September 12, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 12? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.