PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 9:35 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
12°C or below 43%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$7.4K
Medium liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 4:30 AM UTCSep 11, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 9?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Milan on September 10?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Milan on September 9?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Milan on September 10?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $724.3K
- 24h Vol
- $674.2K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+46.0pt99%
- Houston+61.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+3.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704.2K
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Total Vol
- $125.8K
- 24h Vol
- $125.8K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+72.5pt96%
- 23°C-6.5pt3%
- 24°C-0.8pt1%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+70.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.9pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+85.0pt96%
- 33°C+1.3pt4%
- 25°C or below0%
+8 more outcomes
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Milan on September 11??
- Polymarket prices 12°C or below at 43% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Milan on September 11? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Milan on September 11? is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Milan on September 11? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.