PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
78-79°F 38.9%+2.0ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$562.1
Liquidity
$13.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 31, 26, 7:29 AMSep 2, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 1, 2026?
- 76° to 77°+47.0pt95.2%
- 75° or below-24.0pt1%
- 80° to 81°-3.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $514.2K
- 24h Vol
- $503K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 1, 2026?
- Houston+7.0pt99%
- Miami+22.0pt99%
- New Orleans+25.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $289.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- 89° to 90°+71.0pt94.3%
- 91° to 92°-48.0pt1.9%
- 87° to 88°-5.0pt0.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 1, 2026?
- 82° or below+41.0pt95.2%
- 83° to 84°-31.0pt1%
- 85° to 86°-5.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHILowest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- 75° to 76°+29.0pt40.5%
- 77° to 78°+1.0pt32.4%
- 74° or below+12.0pt18%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 1, 2026?
- 93° to 94°+70.0pt95.2%
- 95° or above-22.0pt1%
- 91° to 92°-31.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 2?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Washington DC on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Denver on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 1, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 75 F on September 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 1, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Miami on September 2??
- Polymarket prices 78-79°F at 39% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Miami on September 2? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Miami on September 2? is scheduled to resolve on September 2, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Miami on September 2? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
- Where else is Lowest temperature in Miami on September 2? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.