PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
78-79°F 32.1%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$13.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
0.9 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 13, 26, 5:43 PM UTCSep 15, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 14?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Miami on September 14?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Miami on September 15?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Miami on September 14, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 14, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Miami on Sep 14, 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 13, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+62.0pt95.2%
- 84° or above-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-5.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $674.9K
- 24h Vol
- $636.4K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
- 30°C+21.5pt39.6%
- 29°C+28.9pt34.9%
- 28°C+13.7pt14.2%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
- 16°C+37.5pt100%
- 9°C or below0%
- 10°C0%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 13, 2026?
- 105° to 106°+76.0pt95.2%
- 103° to 104°-48.0pt1%
- 101° to 102°-16.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- Minneapolis90%
- Miami50%
- Houston28%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $56.4K
- 24h Vol
- $56.2K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
- 26°C+39.0pt93.9%
- 27°C-11.0pt6.1%
- 20°C or below0%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 14?
- Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Sep 13, 2026?
- Highest temperature in NYC on September 14?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 14?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on September 13, 2026?
- How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 14?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 14?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Miami on September 15??
- Polymarket prices 78-79°F at 32% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Miami on September 15? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Miami on September 15? is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Miami on September 15? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.