PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability78-79°F 47.4%+6.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.5K
Liquidity
$16.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
24.0% / 28.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 1:30 AMJul 28, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
78-79°F45%
Compare venues· 78-79°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 45% | — | $4.5K | $16.5K | 22 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi84% match · auto | Medium | 62% | — | $1.6K | $1.3K | 22 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 28, 2026?
1d
54.4%
17.5%
14%
+3 more outcomes
50 • Medium qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.6K
24h Vol$1.6K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$4.5kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.