Current implied probability
77° to 78° 46.3%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$566.3
Liquidity
$547.3
Low liquidityBid / Ask
8.0% / 9.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 2:00 PMJul 29, 26, 5:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
81° or above9%
Compare venues· 77° to 78°
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall84% match · auto | Medium | 47% | — | $3.2K | $28.4K | 13 minutes ago | Open → |
 KalshiThis page | Medium | 44% | — | $566.3 | $547.3 | 13 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 28?
16h
43.9%
36.5%
13.1%
+8 more outcomes
72 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.2K
24h Vol$3.2K
POLYMARKETRules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 28, 2026, is less than 73° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Miami, FL" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 27, 2026?
$10.1K78° to 79°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 27, 2026?
$524.9K87° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 27, 2026?
$151.1K89° to 90°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 28?
$53.1K29°C: 40%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 28?
$48.7K12°C: 77%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 28?
$44.1K34°C: 44%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Kimi-K3 Scales to 2.8T Parameters on AMD Instinct GPUsBlockchain.News
Circle Buys IBM Blockchain Patent Estate—And Becomes America's Biggest HolderDecrypt
Tesla wins UK 5G patent appeal over $32 feeCrypto News
Magic Labs Sells Wallet Business to Kraken Parent PaywardThe Defiant
Nvidia forms 37-member AI security alliance without OpenAI, Anthropic or GoogleCoindesk
Circle buys nearly 1,000 blockchain patents from IBMCoindeskRules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 28, 2026, is less than 73° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Miami, FL" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.