PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability80-81°F 77%+42.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.8K
Liquidity
$60K
High liquidityBid / Ask
70.0% / 84.0%
Spread
20.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 12:30 AMJul 14, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
80-81°F77%
Compare venues· 80-81°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 77% | — | $6.8K | $60K | 15 minutes ago | |
 KalshiMost active84% match · auto | Medium | 83% | — | $13.4K | $10K | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 14, 2026?
17h
83%
12%
4%
+3 more outcomes
65 • Medium qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$13.8K
24h Vol$13.4K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$6.8kJul 132d of dataJul 14
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.