PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability80-81°F 34%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.2K
Liquidity
$21K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.3% / 0.8%
Spread
166.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jul 12, 26, 3:30 AMJul 13, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
80-81°F34%
Compare venues· 80-81°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 34% | — | $2.2K | $21K | 14 minutes ago | |
 KalshiMost active84% match · auto | Low | 40% | — | $2.9K | $2.3K | 9 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 13, 2026?
1d
1%
3%
27%
+3 more outcomes
36 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$2.9K
24h Vol$2.9K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$2.2kJul 122d of dataJul 13
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KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.