Current implied probability
84° to 85° 99%+63.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$105.2K
Liquidity
$65.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 11, 26, 2:00 PMJul 13, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
84° to 85°99%
Volume trend
$105.2kJul 112d of dataJul 12
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 12, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 82°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 12, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 82-83°, then the market resolves to Yes.