PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability31°C 42%+15.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$37.4K
Liquidity
$143.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
5.8% / 8.4%
Spread
44.8%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 11, 26, 4:02 AMJul 13, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
31°C42%
Volume trend
$36.3kJul 112d of dataJul 12
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.