PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
16°C 55%+28.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$282
Liquidity
$67.8K
High liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 4:30 AM UTCSep 13, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
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0%
0%
0%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 14?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Madrid on September 13?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Madrid on September 14?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 12, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 12, 2026?
KalshiWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 81 F on September 12, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 12, 2026?
- 81° to 82°+66.0pt95.2%
- 85° or above-16.0pt1%
- 83° to 84°-42.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $445.9K
- 24h Vol
- $418.2K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 12, 2026?
- Atlanta+11.0pt99%
- Seattle+3.0pt83%
- Washington DC-7.0pt74%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $283.4K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 12, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+84.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-43.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-30.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 12, 2026?
- 101° to 102°+56.0pt94.3%
- 99° to 100°-9.0pt1.9%
- 103° to 104°-44.0pt0.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 12, 2026?
- 77° to 78°+47.0pt95.2%
- 79° to 80°-35.0pt1%
- 75° to 76°-13.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 12, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+74.0pt95.2%
- 86° to 87°-47.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-16.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Where will it rain on Sep 13, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Denver on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 12, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 81 F on September 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 12, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 82 F on September 12, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 13??
- Polymarket prices 16°C at 55% as of September 13, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 13? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 13? is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 13? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.