PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 13, 2026, 5:58 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
16°C or below 72%+14.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$9.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
41.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 12, 26, 4:30 AM UTCSep 14, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 12, 2026?
- 81° to 82°+66.0pt95.2%
- 85° or above-16.0pt1%
- 83° to 84°-42.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $445.9K
- 24h Vol
- $418.2K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 12, 2026?
- Atlanta+11.0pt99%
- Seattle+3.0pt83%
- Washington DC-7.0pt74%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $283.4K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 12, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+84.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-43.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-30.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 12, 2026?
- 101° to 102°+56.0pt94.3%
- 99° to 100°-9.0pt1.9%
- 103° to 104°-44.0pt0.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 12, 2026?
- 77° to 78°+47.0pt95.2%
- 79° to 80°-35.0pt1%
- 75° to 76°-13.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 12, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+74.0pt95.2%
- 86° to 87°-47.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-16.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Where will it rain on Sep 13, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Denver on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 12, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 81 F on September 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 12, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 82 F on September 12, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 14??
- Polymarket prices 16°C or below at 72% as of September 13, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 14? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 14? is scheduled to resolve on September 14, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 14? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.