PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 25°C
Resolved: Oct 27, 2026, 2:49 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
25°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
96%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 3:52 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
25°C100%
20°C or below5%
21°C1%
22°C0%
23°C0%
24°C0%
26°C28%
27°C4%
28°C0%
29°C0%
30°C or higher0%
25°CWon
20°C or belowLost
21°CLost
22°CLost
23°CLost
24°CLost
26°CLost
27°CLost
28°CLost
29°CLost
30°C or higherLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Hong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?
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ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in Hong Kong Real GDP exceed 1% in Q3 2026?
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ForecastExWill Singapore rank higher than Hong Kong in the 2026 Fraser Institute Economic Freedom of the World Index?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).
