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Data as of Sep 22, 2026, 4:22 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
51°F or below 50%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$6.6K
Medium liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 22, 26, 7:30 AM UTCSep 24, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 23?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Denver on September 23?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Denver on September 22, 2026?
GeminiLowest temperature in Denver on Sep 22, 2026?
KalshiWill the lowest temperature in Denver (DEN)(KBKF) be below 56 F on September 22, 2026?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in Denver (DEN)(KBKF) be below 54 F on September 22, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 22, 2026?
- Newark+59.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+95.0pt99%
- Philadelphia+11.0pt99%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $209K
- 24h Vol
- $202.3K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 22, 2026?
- 77° to 78°52.8%
- 79° to 80°23.1%
- 75° to 76°20.4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $60.8K
- 24h Vol
- $60.4K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Wellington on September 23?
- 10°C+27.5pt42.4%
- 11°C-22.0pt34.3%
- 9°C+14.5pt17.2%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 22, 2026?
- 65° to 66°49.5%
- 63° to 64°23.8%
- 67° to 68°20%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $41K
- 24h Vol
- $40.8K
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8M
- 24h Vol
- $39.9K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 23?
- 29°C+10.5pt49%
- 28°C-7.0pt41.4%
- 27°C-1.0pt5.8%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in London on September 23?
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 23?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Denver on September 24??
- Polymarket prices 51°F or below at 50% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Denver on September 24? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Denver on September 24? is scheduled to resolve on September 24, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Denver on September 24? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.