PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 14, 2026, 9:56 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
13°C or below 42%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$7K
Medium liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 4:31 AM UTCSep 16, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 14?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 15?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 14?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 15?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 13, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+62.0pt95.2%
- 84° or above-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-5.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $674.9K
- 24h Vol
- $636.4K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
- 30°C+21.5pt39.6%
- 29°C+28.9pt34.9%
- 28°C+13.7pt14.2%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
- 16°C+37.5pt100%
- 9°C or below0%
- 10°C0%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 13, 2026?
- 105° to 106°+76.0pt95.2%
- 103° to 104°-48.0pt1%
- 101° to 102°-16.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- Minneapolis90%
- Miami50%
- Houston28%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $56.4K
- 24h Vol
- $56.2K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
- 26°C+39.0pt93.9%
- 27°C-11.0pt6.1%
- 20°C or below0%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 14?
- Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Sep 13, 2026?
- Highest temperature in NYC on September 14?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 14?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on September 13, 2026?
- How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 14?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 14?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 16??
- Polymarket prices 13°C or below at 42% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 16? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 16? is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 16? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.