PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 11, 2026, 12:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
14°C or below 48%-2.5ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 4:31 AM UTCSep 12, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 11, 2026?
- Washington DC+33.0pt99%
- Houston+26.0pt74%
- Atlanta69%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $120K
- 24h Vol
- $118.1K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 11, 2026?
- 86° or above82.3%
- 84° to 85°12.8%
- 82° to 83°2%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $52.3K
- 24h Vol
- $52.1K
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay38%
- Gonzalo-7.0pt23%
- Isaias+5.0pt21%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 11, 2026?
- 80° to 81°50%
- 82° to 83°33.6%
- 78° to 79°9.6%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.1K
- 24h Vol
- $28.1K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 11, 2026?
- 79° to 80°50.5%
- 81° to 82°27.1%
- 78° or below16.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $25.9K
- 24h Vol
- $25.8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 11, 2026?
- 90° to 91°53.8%
- 88° to 89°25.5%
- 92° to 93°15.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $24.3K
- 24h Vol
- $24.3K
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 11, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 12?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 12?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 12?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 12?
- Highest temperature in Houston on September 12?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 11, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 12?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 12?
- How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 12??
- Polymarket prices 14°C or below at 48% as of September 11, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 12? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 12? is scheduled to resolve on September 12, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 12? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.