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Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 8:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
20°C or higher 41%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.5K
Low liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 4:31 AM UTCSep 11, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+37.0pt99%
- Chicago+17.0pt99%
- Boston+34.0pt51%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $190.8K
- 24h Vol
- $184.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above+48.0pt95.2%
- 91° to 92°-26.0pt1%
- 89° to 90°-13.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 9, 2026?
- 89° to 90°+27.0pt52%
- 91° to 92°-38.0pt22%
- 87° to 88°+8.0pt14%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 9, 2026?
- 83° or below+33.0pt73.5%
- 84° to 85°-15.0pt22.6%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
- 30°C+62.0pt94.1%
- 31°C-17.5pt3.9%
- 32°C-3.5pt1%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 9, 2026?
- 92° or above-18.0pt47.2%
- 88° to 89°+18.0pt27.4%
- 90° to 91°-2.0pt14.2%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in London on September 10?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 11??
- Polymarket prices 20°C or higher at 41% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 11? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 11? is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 11? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.