PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 10°C
Resolved: Sep 4, 2026, 3:22 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
10°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 4, 2026, 4:56 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
10°C 100%+73.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 9 days ago
StaleSep 1, 26, 12:29 PM UTCSep 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
10°C100%
9°C or below0%
11°C51%
12°C0%
13°C0%
14°C0%
15°C0%
16°C0%
17°C0%
18°C0%
19°C or higher0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
