PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 23, 2026, 10:01 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
65°F or below 50%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$6.6K
Medium liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 7:29 AM UTCSep 25, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 24?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Austin on September 24?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Austin on September 23, 2026?
GeminiLowest temperature in Austin on Sep 23, 2026?
KalshiWill the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) be below 75 F on September 23, 2026?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) be below 74 F on September 23, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+28.0pt52.5%
- 80° to 81°39.4%
- 82° to 83°-21.0pt4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $365.5K
- 24h Vol
- $346.7K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
- Philadelphia+83.0pt99%
- Miami+11.0pt99%
- Washington DC+10.0pt99%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $347.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+49.0pt52.4%
- 84° to 85°+21.0pt35.2%
- 86° to 87°-26.0pt9.5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 23, 2026?
- 67° to 68°+25.0pt76.2%
- 65° to 66°-8.0pt19.1%
- 69° to 70°-7.0pt1.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 23, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+23.0pt56.7%
- 82° to 83°+29.0pt38.1%
- 84° to 85°-1.0pt2.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 23, 2026?
- 65° to 66°+27.0pt62.9%
- 67° to 68°-11.0pt17.1%
- 63° to 64°-1.0pt16.2%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 24, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 23, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 23, 2026?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Austin on September 25??
- Polymarket prices 65°F or below at 50% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Austin on September 25? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Austin on September 25? is scheduled to resolve on September 25, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Austin on September 25? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.