PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
69°F or below 34%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$566.7
Liquidity
$9.1K
Medium liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 7:30 AM UTCSep 16, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 15?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Austin on September 15?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Austin on September 14, 2026?
GeminiLowest temperature in Austin on Sep 14, 2026?
KalshiWill the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) be below 77 F on September 14, 2026?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) be below 79 F on September 14, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- Minneapolis+16.0pt98%
- Houston-4.0pt40%
- Miami-1.0pt38%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $95.3K
- 24h Vol
- $92K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- 79° to 80°44.3%
- 81° to 82°31.9%
- 83° or above13.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $70.9K
- 24h Vol
- $70.9K
POLYMARKETHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- 14–16-1.0pt48.5%
- 17–19+2.0pt31.3%
- 11–13-0.5pt14.1%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
- 74° to 75°63.9%
- 76° to 77°29.6%
- 78° to 79°3.7%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $50.6K
- 24h Vol
- $50.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 14, 2026?
- 92° to 93°42.6%
- 90° to 91°42.6%
- 88° to 89°9.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $22.1K
- 24h Vol
- $21.8K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic-0.3pt50%
- SpaceX+2.0pt49%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+9 more outcomes
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- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 14, 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Austin on September 16??
- Polymarket prices 69°F or below at 34% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Austin on September 16? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Austin on September 16? is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Austin on September 16? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.