Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 12:31 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Set Handicap: Jule Niemeier (-1.5) vs Carson Tanguilig (+1.5) — Jule Niemeier 50%-14.6ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Set Handicap: Jule Niemeier (-1.5) vs Carson Tanguilig (+1.5) — Jule Niemeier 50%-14.6ptMarket quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$24.1K
Liquidity
$100
Low liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 27, 26, 8:14 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Carson Tanguilig83%
Set Handicap: Jule Niemeier (-1.5) vs Carson Tanguilig (+1.5) — Jule Niemeier50%
Set Handicap: Carson Tanguilig (-1.5) vs Jule Niemeier (+1.5) — Carson Tanguilig1%
Set Handicap: Jule Niemeier (-1.5) vs Carson Tanguilig (+1.5) — Jule Niemeier50%
Carson TanguiligWon
Before close: 100% ·
Set Handicap: Carson Tanguilig (-1.5) vs Jule Niemeier (+1.5) — Carson TanguiligLost
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
M25 Sheffield: Oliver Tarvet vs Mika Petkovic
PolymarketM15 Mazatlan: LUCCA LIU vs Ryan Colby
PolymarketW15 Monastir: Francesca Gandolfi vs Mailuodi Lei
PolymarketM15 Mazatlan: Matias Soto vs Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca
PolymarketW15 Essen: Emma Sophie Glaser vs Emma Slavikova
PolymarketW15 Neuquén: Sofia Meabe vs Ana Julieta Lopez Ocampos
PolymarketRules
This market refers to the tennis match between the named outcome and Jule Niemeier in the W75 Toronto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:00PM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'the named outcome' if the named outcome advances against Jule Niemeier.
- This market will resolve to 'Jule Niemeier' if Jule Niemeier advances against the named outcome.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
