PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 21°C
Resolved: Oct 27, 2026, 4:22 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
21°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
28%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 4:24 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
21°C100%
13°C or below0%
14°C0%
15°C0%
16°C0%
17°C4%
18°C6%
19°C26%
20°C20%
22°C0%
23°C or higher2%
21°CWon
13°C or belowLost
14°CLost
15°CLost
16°CLost
17°CLost
18°CLost
19°CLost
20°CLost
22°CLost
23°C or higherLost
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on 27 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
