PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 18°C or higher
Resolved: Nov 2, 2026, 5:25 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
18°C or higher
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
40%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 2, 2026, 6:37 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
14°C2%
16°C14%
17°C32%
15°C1%
18°C or higher78%
10°C0%
11°C0%
8°C or below0%
9°C0%
18°C or higherWon
10°CLost
11°CLost
12°CLost
13°CLost
14°CLost
15°CLost
16°CLost
17°CLost
8°C or belowLost
9°CLost
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Toronto Pearson Intl Airport (CYYZ) on 1 Nov '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Toronto Pearson Intl Airport (CYYZ) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
