PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 31°C (100%)
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability31°C 100%+70.5%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$100.9K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated 45 minutes ago
LaggingJul 10, 26, 4:03 AMJul 12, 26, 12:00 PM
Probability Timeline
31°C100%
28°C6%
29°C28%
33°C1%
30°C17%
32°C18%
27°C2%
26°C1%
25°C or below0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.5k93.6%Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 12? — NoAged-Compass2d ago
Volume trend
$100.9kJul 103d of dataJul 12
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POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.