PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability68-69°F 44.1%+18.5ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$14.7K
Liquidity
$12.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 8.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 28, 26, 12:03 AMJul 29, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
68-69°F45%
Compare venues· 68-69°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall86% match · auto | Medium | 40% | — | $14.6K | $11.6K | 10 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis pageMost active | Medium | 45% | — | $14.7K | $12.5K | 10 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 29, 2026?
20h
38.1%
36.2%
17.1%
+3 more outcomes
74 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$14.6K
24h Vol$14.6K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$14.7kJul 282d of dataJul 29
Related Markets
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 29?
$207.7K27°C: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Busan on July 29?
$158.9K39°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on July 29?
$141.3K30°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 29, 2026?
$98.5K83° or above: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 29, 2026?
$62.5K80° to 81°: 48%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 29, 2026?
$31.6K92° to 93°: 26%KALSHI
KALSHI
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.