PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 19°C
Resolved: Oct 31, 2026, 4:23 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
19°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
44%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 6:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
19°C100%
13°C or below0%
14°C1%
15°C1%
16°C1%
17°C3%
18°C9%
20°C0%
21°C1%
22°C1%
23°C or higher0%
19°CWon
13°C or belowLost
14°CLost
15°CLost
16°CLost
17°CLost
18°CLost
20°CLost
21°CLost
22°CLost
23°C or higherLost
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) on 31 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.