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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Weather
  3. Highest temperature in NYC on June 19?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 19?

Highest temperature in NYC on June 19?

3.2% (24h)WeatherDaily1h
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
82-83°F
82-83°F 55%+21.0%
Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$41.6K

Liquidity

$52.2K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

5.8% / 6.8%

Spread

17.2%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jun 18, 26, 1:15 AMJun 19, 26, 12:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
75°F or below
75°F or below
0%

Selected outcome

82-83°F55%

KalshiAlso available on Kalshi

Highest temperature in NYC on Jun 19, 2026?

Highest temperature in NYC on Jun 19, 2026?

18h
81° to 82°
81° to 82°
51%
80° or below
80° or below
24%
83° to 84°
83° to 84°
26%

+3 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$308.9
24h Vol$303.4
KalshiKALSHI

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
  • To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
  • This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
  • The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
  • Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Active in these topics

EthereumETH$1,688.71-2.94%BitcoinBTC$62,434.74-2.31%SolanaSOL$68.22-4.09%DogecoinDOGE$0.0822-2.82%XRPXRP$1.12-3.68%BNBBNB$571.97-2.87%

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
  • To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
  • This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
  • The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
  • Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.