Current implied probability
81° to 82° 49%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$289.9
Liquidity
$225.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
49.0% / 50.0%
Spread
2.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 18, 26, 2:00 PMJun 20, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
81° to 82°49%
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on June 19?
0.9%2h
+15.0%54%
28%
-8.0%14%
+8 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$49.5K
24h Vol$41.4K
POLYMARKETRules
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for June 19, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 81°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for June 19, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Jun 19, 2026?
$66.5101° to 102°: 40%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Dallas on Jun 19, 2026?
$47.887° or below: 73%KALSHI
KALSHI
Lowest temperature in Austin on Jun 19, 2026?
$3473° or below: 31%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 19?
$221.1K31°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?
$161.5K31°C: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 19?
$152K31°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
France Scales AI Ambitions with NVIDIA InfrastructureBlockchain.News
Ethereum can quantum-proof accounts for just 7 cents, says Ethereum's Kohaku leadCointelegraph
Ethereum researcher says $0.07 can add post-quantum account protectionCrypto News
Google Unveils Gemini 3.5 and AI Upgrades at I/O 2026Blockchain.News
Nvidia may power Apple’s biggest Siri upgrade after years of delayCrypto News
Big tech is 'terrified' of AI agents wiping out ad revenue, says Billions Network CEOCoindeskRules
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for June 19, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 81°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for June 19, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.