Current implied probability
87° or below 89%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$48.7
Liquidity
$40.3
Low liquidityBid / Ask
72.0% / 84.0%
Spread
16.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jun 18, 26, 2:00 PMJun 20, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
87° or below89%
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Dallas on June 19?
4.4%1h
+26.0%43%
34%
-5.5%20%
+8 more outcomes
77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$53.6K
24h Vol$43.3K
POLYMARKETRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Jun 19, 2026, is less than 88° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Dallas/Fort Worth, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Jun 19, 2026, is less than 88° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Dallas/Fort Worth, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.