PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability84-85°F 36%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$35.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
27.0% / 28.0%
Spread
3.7%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 4, 26, 1:02 AMJul 5, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
84-85°F36%
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 4, 2026?
21h
92%
2%
9%
+3 more outcomes
88 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$31.2K
24h Vol$30.9K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.