PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability80-81°F 36.2%+15.5ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$25.1K
Liquidity
$163.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.2% / 2.9%
Spread
1.7 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 28, 26, 12:02 AMJul 29, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
80-81°F38%
Compare venues· 80-81°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 29, 2026?
21h
46.7%
33.6%
9.3%
+3 more outcomes
77 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$43.5K
24h Vol$43.5K
KALSHI
Also available on Gemini
Highest temperature in NYC on July 29, 2026?
20h
44.9%
33.6%
8.9%
+3 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$496
24h Vol$496
GEMINIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$25.1kJul 282d of dataJul 29
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.