PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 3°C
Resolved: Nov 2, 2026, 9:21 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
3°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
14%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 3, 2026, 1:26 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
3°C100%
0°C or below0%
10°C or higher1%
1°C2%
2°C12%
4°C5%
5°C1%
6°C15%
7°C7%
8°C1%
9°C2%
3°CWon
0°C or belowLost
10°C or higherLost
1°CLost
2°CLost
4°CLost
5°CLost
6°CLost
7°CLost
8°CLost
9°CLost
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Vnukovo International Airport (UUWW) on 2 Nov '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Vnukovo International Airport (UUWW) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.