PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability92-93°F 53%+13.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$11.2K
Liquidity
$41.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
52.0% / 53.0%
Spread
1.9%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 1:02 AMJul 14, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
92-93°F53%
Compare venues· 92-93°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 53% | — | $11.2K | $41.1K | 17 minutes ago | |
 KalshiMost active84% match · auto | Medium | 50% | — | $31.6K | $25.2K | 17 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 14, 2026?
18h
50%
48%
6%
+3 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$31.6K
24h Vol$31.6K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$11.2kJul 132d of dataJul 14
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.