PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability96-97°F 50.5%+11.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.2K
Liquidity
$23.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
53.0% / 55.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 28, 26, 12:03 AMJul 29, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
96-97°F54%
Compare venues· 96-97°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 54% | — | $6.2K | $23.4K | 17 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi84% match · auto | Medium | 52% | — | $5.9K | $5.1K | 17 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Houston on Jul 29, 2026?
21h
46%
39.8%
8.8%
+3 more outcomes
62 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$5.9K
24h Vol$5.9K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P.
- Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P.
- Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$6.2kJul 282d of dataJul 29
Related Markets
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P.
- Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P.
- Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.