PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 31°C
Resolved: Nov 2, 2026, 4:23 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
31°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
39%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 3, 2026, 1:26 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
31°C100%
25°C or below0%
26°C1%
27°C0%
28°C1%
29°C2%
30°C5%
32°C0%
33°C10%
34°C0%
35°C or higher0%
31°CWon
25°C or belowLost
26°CLost
27°CLost
28°CLost
29°CLost
30°CLost
32°CLost
33°CLost
34°CLost
35°C or higherLost
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (ZGGG) on 2 Nov '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (ZGGG) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.