PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability76-77°F 34%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$13.5K
Liquidity
$64.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 0.4%
Spread
300.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 4, 26, 1:02 AMJul 5, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
76-77°F34%
Related Markets
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 4?
$212.4K32°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 4?
$143.3K33°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 4?
$121.5K33°C: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 4, 2026?
$77.8K75° or above: 24%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Where will the maximum temperature be above 100 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
$58KPhoenix: 97%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 4, 2026?
$39.8K97° or below: 89%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.