PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability92-93°F 34%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$21.9K
Liquidity
$85.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
21.0% / 23.0%
Spread
9.5%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jul 15, 26, 1:03 AMJul 16, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
92-93°F34%
Compare venues· 92-93°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 34% | — | $21.9K | $85.3K | 20 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi84% match · auto | Medium | 31% | — | $4.3K | $6.2K | 20 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 16, 2026?
1d
31%
28%
21%
+3 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6.7K
24h Vol$4.3K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.