PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability96-97°F 56%+22.5%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$13K
Liquidity
$34.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.5% / 2.8%
Spread
12.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 1:02 AMJul 14, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
96-97°F56%
Compare venues· 96-97°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall84% match · auto | High | 56% | — | $28K | $20K | 22 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Medium | 56% | — | $13K | $34.5K | 2 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 14, 2026?
19h
56%
23%
17%
+3 more outcomes
77 • High qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$28.4K
24h Vol$28K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$13.0kJul 132d of dataJul 14
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.