PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability98-99°F 37%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$9.5K
Liquidity
$47.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
27.0% / 32.0%
Spread
18.5%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 4, 26, 1:03 AMJul 5, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
98-99°F37%
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 4, 2026?
16.0%14h
+16.0%31%
3%
-28.0%7%
+3 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$31.7K
24h Vol$29.4K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.