PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: England (100%)
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 18, 2026, 11:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probabilityEngland 100%+64.5ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$413.4K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated 8 days ago
StaleJul 16, 26, 2:57 AMJul 18, 26, 9:00 PM
Probability Timeline
England100%
France0%
Neither0%
100%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· England
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall65% match · auto | Low | 37% | — | $518.6K | $706.7K | 9 days ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $413.4K | $0 | 8 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
France vs England: First Team to Score
1.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
England (37%)
+6.0pt61.3%
-2.0pt34.9%
+1.0pt3.8%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$736.9K
24h Vol$518.6K
KALSHIRules
In the upcoming match between France and England, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- This market will resolve to "England" if England are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither".
- This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.2k62.0%KALSHIFrance — Yes9d ago
KALSHIFrance — Yes9d ago$1.3k62.0%KALSHIFrance — Yes9d ago
KALSHIFrance — Yes9d ago$1.2k60.0%POLYMARKETFrance to score first vs. England? — Yesfilipok200310d ago
POLYMARKETFrance to score first vs. England? — Yesfilipok200310d ago$1.7k98.0%KALSHINo Goal — No10d ago
KALSHINo Goal — No10d agoVolume trend
$413.4kJul 164d of dataJul 19
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In the upcoming match between France and England, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- This market will resolve to "England" if England are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither".
- This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.