KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Cuenca (88%)
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, 2:03 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Cuenca
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
42%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 1:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Cuenca
- Recorded
- Jul 28, 2026, 2:23 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityCuenca 87.1%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.5M
Liquidity
$1M
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 3:17 AMAug 11, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Emelec1%
Tie12%
Cuenca88%
1%
11.9%
87.1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.8k94.0%KALSHICuenca — Yes3h ago
KALSHICuenca — Yes3h ago$1.2k97.0%KALSHIEmelec — No3h ago
KALSHIEmelec — No3h ago$1.1k96.0%KALSHIEmelec — No3h ago
KALSHIEmelec — No3h ago$1.8k30.0%KALSHIEmelec — Yes6h ago
KALSHIEmelec — Yes6h agoVolume trend
$1.5MJul 272d of dataJul 28
Related Markets
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
$723.1KHarry Kane: 46%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers
$329.8KWestern Sydney Wanderers: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
$145.6KKylian Mbappe: 13%KALSHI
KALSHI
Lincoln Red Imps vs Mjallby
$119.3KLincoln Red Imps advances: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Next Italian National Team Head Coach
$49.8KRoberto Mancini: 73%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
$42.1KTeam A: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds: Kane jumps to 41% in 2026 Ballon d'Or marketBlockchain.News
Polymarket keeps Messi at 90.6% for Golden Ball after Mbappe Golden Boot leadBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices 'History' at 95% for Argentina–Spain broadcast phrase ladderBlockchain.NewsPolymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
Prediction markets just crushed traditional sportsbooks in a massive $50 billion World Cup breakoutCoindeskPolymarket Golden Ball odds hold at 50% as Golden Boot race heats upBlockchain.NewsRules
If Cuenca wins the Cuenca vs Emelec professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Cuenca vs Emelec professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.