PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityUp 98%+0.5%
Market quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$50.4K
Liquidity
$20.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
97.2% / 99.5%
Spread
2.4%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 2, 26, 4:00 PMJul 4, 26, 4:00 PM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Up98%
Large trades
$1.7k97.3%Up0x06dc…45242h ago
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
- Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.