PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability180-199 16%Leader of 26 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$94.9K
Liquidity
$920.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 4:00 AMJul 17, 26, 4:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
180-19916%
Volume trend
$94.9kJul 73d of dataJul 9
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Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 10 12:00 PM ET to July 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.