KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAt least 2 43%+1.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$449.2
Liquidity
$40.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
40.0% / 43.0%
Spread
7.5%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 2:00 PMAug 1, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
At least 243%
Volume trend
$449Jul 29d of dataJul 10
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Rules
If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 1 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- "Banner headline" refers to a standalone centered headline surrounded only by whitespace.
- This market resolves based on the front page displayed in the NYT Store's 'Front Page Reprint' section.
- Past examples: Jan 5, 2026; Jan 4, 2026; Nov 5, 2025; May 31, 2024; Jun 24, 2016
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 2 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 3 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.