PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Up (100%)
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, 4:19 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Up
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 14, 2026, 4:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Up
- Recorded
- Jul 14, 2026, 4:45 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityUp 100%+0.5%
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 13, 26, 12:26 AMJul 14, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Up100%
Down0%
100%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$1.7kJul 132d of dataJul 14
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Jul 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 14 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Jul 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 14 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
- Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.