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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26?
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26?

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26?

7.0% (24h)BitcoinDailyExchangeStablecoinBinance9h
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Up
Up 56%+0.1%
Market quality

89 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$158.2K

Liquidity

$29K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

56.0% / 58.0%

Spread

3.6%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jun 24, 26, 4:00 PMJun 26, 26, 4:00 PM
Outcome24hChance
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Up56%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 26 '26 12:00 ET candle.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 26 '26 12:00 ET candle.
  • If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
  • The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
  • Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 26 '26 12:00 ET candle.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 26 '26 12:00 ET candle.
  • If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
  • The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
  • Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.