PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Up (100%)
Resolved: Jul 9, 2026, 4:16 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Up
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
52%
Current implied probabilityUp 100%+0.5pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$83K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 17 days ago
StaleJul 7, 26, 4:00 PMJul 9, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Up100%
Down0%
Coin Price Context
Coin price movements are shown for context and do not imply causation.
BTC$62.32K → $63.27K+1.5%
100%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Up
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $83K | $0 | 17 days ago | |
 Limitless68% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $15.1K | $0 | 18 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
BTC Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
Yes (99.5%)
99.5%
0.5%
27 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$92.9K
24h Vol$15.1K
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
- Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$83.0kJul 83d of dataJul 10
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 9 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
- Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.