PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Down (99%)
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, 8:14 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Down
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 26, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Down
- Recorded
- Jul 26, 2026, 8:36 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityUp 1%-0.5%
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$20.2K
Liquidity
$5.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.3% / 1.0%
Spread
233.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJul 24, 26, 7:00 AMJul 26, 26, 8:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Up1%
Down99%
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.0k40.1%POLYMARKETUpLin0351275h ago
POLYMARKETUpLin0351275h agoRelated Cryptos
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
- The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT).
- The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.
- Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.