PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Up (100%)
Resolved: Jul 13, 2026, 1:11 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Up
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 13, 2026, 1:03 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Up
- Recorded
- Jul 13, 2026, 1:34 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityUp 100%+0.5%
Market quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$73.4K
Liquidity
$6.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
99.3% / 99.7%
Spread
0.4%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 11, 26, 12:00 AMJul 13, 26, 1:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Up100%
Down1%
1%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$2.5k99.8%Up0x50f72h ago
Volume trend
$73.4kJul 122d of dataJul 13
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
- The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT).
- The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.
- Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.