What are the current odds for Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st??

Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 24, 2026.

When does Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? resolve?

Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2023.

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Resolved: Mar 23, 2023, 11:20 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Yes 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

Feb 24, 23, 12:00 AMMar 31, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

0.0 pts

100%

0.0 pts

Related Cryptos

Rules

In Response to Trader Inquiry: This market still resolves to "Yes" if users need to pay a standard gas fee to claim the airdrop.

This is a market on whether Arbitrum (https://bridge.arbitrum.io/) will both launch and airdrop a native token by March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.
Launching a token in this context can be defined as a deployed-to-mainnet (any Arbitrum mainnet in this case, currently Arbitrum One and/or Arbitrum Nova), actively transferrable and/or tradable token that is in some way native to the underlying application or protocol, and substantiated by the respective project via website or official social media channels.
In the case of a token being announced but not yet transferrable or “live”, that will not satisfy market conditions.
If the token is deployed to mainnet (either mainnet, in any form, including some sort of voucher), but is not transferrable, that will also not satisfy market conditions.
In the case of ERC20 tokens, if the token is deployed, but there is no existing Uniswap pool for the token, it will be considered not “live” and thus will not satisfy market conditions.